With the off season in full effect, I’m highlighting a list of eight story lines I am watching in the off season. One each day that draw on threads from The Analytics of Dynasty 2020 Edition.
Value Spread Between Dak Prescott and Lamar Jackson
Lamar Jackson’s 2019 was a massive QB1 finish. He is certainly inside the line of top 6 QB finishers who project to long-term success (see the Superflex chapter!), but he was supported by an unrealistic 8.9% touchdown rate and historic rushing output. Prescott, on the other hand, who finished as QB2 had a more realistic 5% touchdown rate on the NFL’s top offense in total yardage. Jackson is going at QB2 while Prescott is going at QB5 in February ADP and is a dark horse candidate for QB1 in 2020.