Part 2 of the post combine review.  

Here is a brief update on the combine week schedule.  

As mentioned in the pod, here is a chart of the averages at the skill positions across the measurements and tests. 

Here is a podcast with a reaction to the measurements of the offensive skill positions.  

This podcast breaks down the combine performances of the quarterbacks, wide receivers and tight ends.  

SF/2PPR TE scoring Real Draft Position:

 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1zNo83r_zHLdKvR9rq_3_GgFOi_79zrpXBPqbEbJSG0c/edit#gid=1229673082 

Rookie Draft Real Draft Position

 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1U1AiUbtHcIO11BmmBl4YfHHjVJ0yxQR8fBEl_OY2BVw/edit?usp=sharing  

Rookie Board

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12DIqPKuz5suMVh5tSdGMWZCO9vOkcTrhwLACBcKltTA/edit?usp=sharing 

Draft Pick Calculator Post!

 https://www.patreon.com/posts/startup-trade-37053006 

TIERS

Quarterbacks: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1-BCy1I-nstvdrmBJ8vc0Gxp20zNZ8FCcqtEr-zKRHWQ/edit?usp=sharing 

Running Backs: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1XPn8qhQZ7ONLGrs_AkQtwFYLqll7EsbHXhufmQZyOpI/edit?usp=sharing 

Wide Receivers: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1t2S33qtbOL75V8b3pUGdaGqySumbSJHcH6QuKcDbQ5k/edit?usp=sharing 

Tight Ends: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11hrCwoL8Wdc0ip8-hDKIAmx934_G3ZgdnsP8wnveAI0/edit?usp=sharing 

For the article referenced in the podcast, check out the link here:  https://genius.com/Sam-hinkie-philadelphia-76ers-resignation-letter-annotated 

Post draft market share report on RB shares.  

2020 QB Class in historical perspective.  

I’ve incorporated some new metrics in the QB, RB, and WR tiers.  These include dynamic density and market infused hit rates.   This podcast breaks them down and you can find the update tiers in the corresponding positional posts.  

After an appearance on The Analytics of Dynasty Podcast, my editor Adam Wilson jumped over to the Patreon side for a wide ranging conversation about life, QBs, RBs, and what my random texts at 1230am really look like.  

With request from owners joining auction drafts, here is a podcast on some thoughts on how to explore the market in dynasty auction drafts.  If you have a recent auction draft either in this year or prior years,=, let me know, I’d like to see data on positional spending! 

This podcast is a continuation of the contract reviews of all 2 teams.  This edition covered the NFC South.  

Off season QB market share report

This is the final installation of the contract series concluding with the NFC West. 

Here is a podcast explaining the wide receiver tiers.  You can find the link to the tiers here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1t2S33qtbOL75V8b3pUGdaGqySumbSJHcH6QuKcDbQ5k/edit?usp=sharing

The four positional tiers are finally completed with running back tiers found here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1XPn8qhQZ7ONLGrs_AkQtwFYLqll7EsbHXhufmQZyOpI/edit?usp=sharing

The podcast walks through some of the players, with some really helpful takeaways for strategy, especially rookie drafts.  

A patron asked about dynasty strategy in best ball formats so I put together a podcast on how to approach positions in best ball differently than you might do in a normal starting lineup league.

Champion patron Laura had questions about her team build, so I went ahead and did a podcast reviewing the strategy.  

This podcast explains the tight end tiers, how they are organized, and some of the important features to consider.  You can find the tiers at the link here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11hrCwoL8Wdc0ip8-hDKIAmx934_G3ZgdnsP8wnveAI0/edit?usp=sharing

The Tight End and Quarterback tiers are out, and the tight ends have drawn some questions.  

The base rates aren’t a prediction of odds to hit.  They are simply a comparison to players of the same pedigree and production.   For players who have not produced a top 12 season, they are the rates used in the base rates chapter of the book.   For players that produced a top 12 season, they use the rates from the density chapter.  It is notable that players with a top 12 season see a good shift in future odds.  

The base rates are valuable at the middle of the spectrum of tight ends.  Notable outliers, like George Kittle (0%) and Richard Rodgers (83%) are a good example of the limitations of the analysis at the extremes.  The use of base rates is better in the middle of the distribution, with players like Tyler Higbee (40%), Mike Gesicki (67%), and David Njoku (81%) major beneficiaries of hitting for a top 12 season.  Notable players who have not hit and have hit rate questions with O.J. Howard (50%), Jonnu Smith(4%), and Gerald Everett (7%) with Smith and Everett picks that are higher in ADP than their base rates warrant.