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Announcement: Analytics of Dynasty Patreon Program

The Analytics of Dynasty is now on Patreon!

Get more in-depth and topical podcasts and articles by signing up today at https://www.patreon.com/analyticsofdynasty.

For $4 a month, become a Devy Patreon.  This will give you access to 1 to 2 podcasts a week as well as associated written work.

For $10 a month, become a Dynasty Patreon.  This will give you the Devy Patreon Access, plus Dynasty Tiers (coming in January), additional podcasts on team building, the ability to vote on podcast topics, and the chance to submit your team for a dynasty review podcast.

For $20 a month, become a Champion Patreon.  This will give you all the Dynasty Patreon Access, and access to the Analytics of Dynasty Group Me chat where I and other owners talk teambuilding, trades, drafts, and more to help you build winning dynasty teams.

This is the Analytics of Dynasty in audio and updated form to add to the content you can get from The Analytics of Dynasty.

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Reflections Through the First 100 Picks of a Superflex Draft

With more than 100 picks in there are some early conclusions from the ongoing Superflex draft I am in.  While historical Superflex data is limited, each draft can create a better feel for the pacing of positions and when positional runs will occur.

Continue reading Reflections Through the First 100 Picks of a Superflex Draft

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Superflex Startup: An Analytics of Dynasty Build

I joined a startup with my friend Tim Torch that is ongoing this week.  We thought it would be a good opportunity to employ some of the principles from The Analytics of Dynasty in the startup to build a strong core.

Format

The format is Superflex with 4PT passing TDs and 1.75 PPR scoring for TE.  The remainder of the scoring is stock PPR.  The total roster is 36 players deep with starting lineups of start 1QB/1RB/1WR/1TE/1SF/5 flex.

Rookie pick placeholders are in the draft with a rookie draft occurring after the NFL Draft. Continue reading Superflex Startup: An Analytics of Dynasty Build

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Analytics of Dynasty: Perfect Offseason Gift

With championship week 16 upon us, the offseason is only hours away. Now is the perfect time to get an edge in offseason trades, rookie drafts, and startups, by ordering The Analytics of Dynasty

The Analytics of Dynasty covers a decade of statistical, ADP, efficiency, and production data that will help you make better dynasty decisions.  There is a full range of dynasty league topics, including:

  • Startup draft strategy
  • Rookie draft strategy
  • Trade strategy
  • Player selection
  • Roster construction

There are also new metrics and strategies that measure a player’s impact on a dynasty team’s success, including

  • Wins Over Replacement Player (WORP)
  • Adjusted Wins Over Replacement Player (aWORP)
  • Rule of 7
  • Rule of 97

The book also provides studies of a variety of topics and comes to conclusions that are contrarian to several mainstream beliefs on topics, including

  • Positional efficiency
  • Positional hit rates
  • Rookie draft hit rates
  • Optimal player selection

I hear some of these narratives every week on podcasts and read them in writing.  With The Analytics of Dynasty, you will be able to exploit them in drafts and trades.  The book will help you make more efficient and winning dynasty rosters. 

There are two options to buy

  1. The Analytics of Dynasty – $30.
  2. The Analytics of Dynasty with a one-on-one strategy session – $50. 

The Analytics of Dynasty will be released in PDF form in late January.  Have a startup draft before then?  Let me know and I’ll get you some advanced strategy points. 

Merry Christmas, Happy Holidays, and good luck in your championship games!

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Fat Tails: The Impact of James Conner

Through week 9 of the NFL season, James Conner has 206.5 PPR points and is currently the RB3.  The impact of that has been massive both this season and historically.

James Conner’s Profile

James Conner’s profile was interesting when he was drafted.  There were a lot of signs for high-level potential when he was drafted by the Steelers:

  • Prototypically sized (6’1″ 233lbs)
  • College career with workhorse workload
  • Good offense
  • Day 2 pick (105th)

Just by draft pedigree alone, he would project as an early 2nd (Picks 13-18) round rookie pick where the average RB is the 107th pick in the NFL Draft.

Continue reading Fat Tails: The Impact of James Conner